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	<title>Climate Science and Politics &#187; SRES</title>
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		<title>Global Carbon Trends 2007 and Climate Sensitivity</title>
		<link>http://climatepatrol.net/2008/10/03/global-carbon-trends-2007-and-climate-sensitivity/</link>
		<comments>http://climatepatrol.net/2008/10/03/global-carbon-trends-2007-and-climate-sensitivity/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Oct 2008 10:43:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Climate Patrol</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Climate Models]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[carbon trends 2007]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[overestimation of climate sensitivity]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://climatepatrol.net/?p=68</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The gist of the highlights of the annual update of the global carbon budget and trends of the Global Carbon Project reads: Anthropogenic CO2 emissions have been growing about four times faster since 2000 than during the previous decade. Natural CO2 sinks are growing, but more slowly than atmospheric CO2, which has been growing at 2 ppm per year since 2000. This is 33% faster than during the previous 20 years. All of these changes characterize a carbon cycle that is generating stronger climate forcing and sooner than expected. CO2 emission growth four times faster, atmospheric CO2 growing 33% faster, generating stronger climate forcing and sooner than expected. This makes a nice headline &#8211; or rather a scary one. Climatepatrol attempts to dig deeper beyond the news releases on global carbon trends 2007.  The papers and posts are many which deal with the relationship between global temperature history, carbon cycle and IPCC emission scenarios. I try to sort out some of the newer, controversal papers and divide them into three groups: A) Constraining temperature history and past emissions in climate models Stephen E. Schwartz about the huge uncertainties of aerosols and about HEAT CAPACITY, TIME CONSTANT, AND SENSITIVITY OF EARTH&#8217;S CLIMATE SYSTEM (Schwartz 2007) and [...]]]></description>
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		<title>Global Temperature About to Fall Below IPCC Scenarios</title>
		<link>http://climatepatrol.net/2008/07/09/global-temperature-about-to-fall-below-ipcc-scenarios/</link>
		<comments>http://climatepatrol.net/2008/07/09/global-temperature-about-to-fall-below-ipcc-scenarios/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Jul 2008 22:20:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Climate Patrol</dc:creator>
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		<category><![CDATA[global temperature]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[RSS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SRES]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://climatepatrol.net/?p=63</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In a recent post I came up with a 100-year global temperature trend of 1.64°C per century using the temperature history of 5 metrics of the satellite era. With satellite temperature updates of June and by using GISS land-ocean-index instead of &#8220;meteorological stations only&#8221; as in May, this trend is now being reduced to 1.59°C per century. Although this is still consistent with Special Report on Emission Scenarios SRES as used in the two recent reports TAR and AR4 of the IPCC, the slope points towards the lower end of any scenario. First of all, lets have a look at the same global temperature trends. By using a running 4-year mean of the respective monthly temperature anomalies, the intention is to smooth out the effects of ENSO (El Nino &#8211; Southern Oscillation) as a natural variation influencing global temperature from one year to another. The professionals at Realclimate are the ones who have done it right I am sure. But this is not the main objective of the following graph. ENSO is probably the natural variability that is most cited by AGW proponents and the IPCC report is full of it alright. Yet another variable is the effect of two [...]]]></description>
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